Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000688 0.000789 0.000895 0.001016 0.001149 0.001292 0.001455
2025-02-16 0.000524 0.000661 0.000816 0.001005 0.001226 0.001476 0.001777
2025-02-23 0.000446 0.000600 0.000783 0.001014 0.001295 0.001624 0.002032
2025-03-02 0.000386 0.000550 0.000754 0.001022 0.001358 0.001762 0.002278
2025-03-09 0.000324 0.000489 0.000703 0.000993 0.001368 0.001831 0.002435
2025-03-16 0.000274 0.000437 0.000656 0.000963 0.001372 0.001888 0.002576
2025-03-23 0.000242 0.000406 0.000633 0.000961 0.001409 0.001985 0.002766
2025-03-30 0.000215 0.000378 0.000613 0.000960 0.001445 0.002080 0.002955
2025-04-06 0.000189 0.000350 0.000589 0.000951 0.001467 0.002155 0.003118
2025-04-13 0.000165 0.000321 0.000560 0.000932 0.001474 0.002209 0.003254
2025-04-20 0.000153 0.000311 0.000559 0.000953 0.001537 0.002340 0.003493
2025-04-27 0.000141 0.000299 0.000553 0.000966 0.001588 0.002455 0.003714
2025-05-04 0.000124 0.000275 0.000528 0.000949 0.001595 0.002510 0.003855
2025-05-11 0.000108 0.000252 0.000502 0.000929 0.001597 0.002557 0.003987
2025-05-18 0.000099 0.000242 0.000497 0.000940 0.001645 0.002670 0.004212
2025-05-25 0.000090 0.000231 0.000489 0.000947 0.001686 0.002773 0.004425
2025-06-01 0.000078 0.000210 0.000462 0.000920 0.001673 0.002796 0.004523
2025-06-08 0.000066 0.000191 0.000436 0.000892 0.001657 0.002814 0.004612
2025-06-15 0.000060 0.000181 0.000425 0.000890 0.001681 0.002892 0.004791
2025-06-22 0.000054 0.000171 0.000415 0.000889 0.001707 0.002973 0.004975
2025-06-29 0.000048 0.000160 0.000401 0.000880 0.001718 0.003031 0.005125
2025-07-06 0.000041 0.000148 0.000383 0.000862 0.001715 0.003065 0.005239
2025-07-13 0.000039 0.000145 0.000386 0.000882 0.001775 0.003199 0.005507